From out of nowhere, virtually, Democrats appear to have a chance to win the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Roy Blunt, who is retiring.
The tumultuous developments of the last few days revolve around 85-year-old, former U.S. Senator John C. Danforth, a Republican centrist who loathes Donald Trump and the Republican senatorial candidates, all of whom have been madly scrambling for the crown of “most conservative, most MAGA Republican.”
CNN reported this afternoon that a “super PAC” led by Danforth has raised more than $5 million, with the goal of supporting a moderate Republican to run as an independent.
You get my drift? The independent would be third-party candidate who would be on the ballot in November along with the Democratic and Republican nominees.
Follow along with me now…
Let’s say Eric Greitens or Vicki Hartzler was the Republican nominee and Trudy (Big Bucks) Busch Valentine was the Democratic nominee. Greitens or Hartzler would almost certainly lose a lot of moderate Republican voters to the independent candidate, possibly allowing Valentine to pass through the parted waters of the “red sea.”
Danforth told CNN, “The message of the super PAC is America is too polarized now…The center really has been cut out of American politics.”
The center-right candidate whom Danforth is backing is John F. Wood, who, is leaving his post this week as senior legislative counsel to the House select committee investigating Jan. 6, 2021. Wood is believed to be resigning primarily because of Danforth’s encouragement to run for the Senate.
Before becoming a lawyer, Wood worked on Danforth’s staff. He also clerked for Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas and at the U.S. Court of Appeals, Fourth Circuit, for retired Judge J. Michael Luttig, who testified before the Jan. 6 commission this week.
I said at the outset that this development comes out of nowhere. Actually, I exaggerate, as I sometimes do.
A Monday St. Louis Post-Dispatch story said that Danforth predicted back in February that a center-right independent would file to run for U.S. Senate in Missouri.
“He based his prediction,” the PD story said, “on the results of a poll suggesting an independent candidate — one who promotes a message of unity instead of division — would have a strong chance of winning the general election.”
The story didn’t cite the poll. I didn’t see the story or the poll, and while I don’t trust the poll, it is entirely logical that a moderate Republican would draw some moderate Republican votes and maybe even some conservative Democratic votes.
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The problem with Danforth’s rationale, as I see it, is it’s hard to believe a stuffy-looking lawyer like Wood would be a strong and appealing candidate.
See what I mean?
Maybe I’m judging too much on first impressions, but how could a guy who has been embroiled in legalities for years suddenly remove his pin-striped suit, jump into the phone booth and emerge as Superman.
You know what, though? Danforth might be envisioning the same thing.
I’ll bet he’s thinking, what’s to lose? He can tout Wood as vigorously and relentlessly as he touted Clarence Thomas for the Supreme Court (oh, my!), and even if Wood loses, it might precipitate defeat for any of the right-wing nut jobs Danforth despises.
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I traveled with Danforth in 1976, when I was a reporter covering him and his Democratic opponent, former Missouri Gov. Warren Hearnes, in the general election campaign for the Senate seat. (U.S. Rep. Jerry Litton, who won the Democratic nomination but died in a plane crash the night he won the primary, would have defeated Danforth, but Hearnes was easy pickings for Danforth.)
Danforth is an honorable and smart guy — one of my all-time favorite Republicans, despite the Clarence Thomas debacle. He knows what he’s doing.
These stomach-wrenching fools who are running for the Republican nomination — Greitens, Hartzler, Billy Long, Eric Schmitt & Co. — may now be losing sleep as they contemplate the prospect of that big Missouri red sea parting, and Trudy Busch Valentine dancing through to victory.
To paraphrase the inimitable Jackie Gleason…How sweet it would be!
JimmyCsays: At the juncture of journalism and daily life in KC 
Every major election in Kansas a group of has beens and never weres comes out as Republicans for (insert name of Democrat here). They don’t succeed. If he had picked an attractive candidate, maybe. But, not only is he pudgy and boring he is associated with the much hated 1/6 Committee. I’m betting he pulls more from the Democrats than the Republicans and Danfort is now a pariah.
Oops, forgot the two occasions where they had an impact, Murkowski in Alaska and Greg Orman in Kansas. In both cases the Democrat disappeared and in Kansas, Orman (a very bright guy) still lost.
“The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Kansas. Democratic nominee Laura Kelly won the election, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach and independent candidate Greg Orman.” Wikipedia
I don’t think a moderate Independent helps a moderate Democrat. I’d rather have the current Kansas situation where an R will have an Independent from the (even further) right on the ballot against a moderate Democrat.
Jim, you presume that TBV would just waltz through the Democratic primary to become the nominee. Lucas Kunce is a brilliant young candidate who checks a lot of the same boxes as Greitens, but is anti-matter to Greitens’ matter.
I like Kunce, especially the fact he refuses to accept contributions from corporate political action committees. But, MW, he’s been running for 15 months and very few people know who he is…I see no evidence he’s making any inroads at all. And the fact that Rep. Cleaver endorsed Busch Valentine shortly after she got in the race in March tells me the that’s where the party leaders either are now or will be in short order. Cleaver usually stays out of Democratic primaries; the fact he jumped right on the Busch Valentine candidacy says a lot, to me at least.
She also looks like a very good person. She’s an RN who has worked extensively with children. She’s not had an easy life, either: Her husband died prematurely, and her son died of a drug overdose.